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just to add as i am stuck with PD10 now, if i produce the mpeg2 project, and reinsert it will i have to redo all the chapters. there are many. why does the software guess in the first place. i am pretty annoyed
The software has to guess because it applies compression as it goes along through the rendering process.
This is going to be true of any compression algorithm, even if you're just compressing text into a zip file. You have two choices: go all the way through the compression process and then report the final size; or make an estimate by sampling the data. The former is useless, and the latter is always going to be a best guess.
If you weren't compressing the data, then the size would be known ahead of time. With compression, the results depend upon the data (and the algorithm, of course).
For example, suppose the compression algorithm started with an initial frame, then recorded only the changed pixels from one frame to the next. (That's actually how some video compression algorithms work, by the way.) If you had a video of a still life, there wouldn't be any changed pixels from one frame to the next; so the result would be tiny.
If, on the other hand, you had a video of a hockey game there would be a lot of pixels changing all of the time. The result might be close to the uncompressed size.
Since most video would show more motion at some times than at others, the results have to be somewhere in between. There are a variety of tricks you can play to get more accurate estimates, but they're always going to be guesstimates.
Think about this choice: would you rather have your rendered result smaller than the estimate, or larger? I know which I would choose.
Jerry Schwartz